DOE research models a possible 57 percent reduction in space-conditioning primary energy from improved airtightness and heat-pump deployment in manufactured homes. It is a modeled project result, not a guaranteed saving for one home or community.
What the estimate can do
The number can help an operator frame questions for a contractor: Which equipment is installed? Are ducts under the floor or in the attic? Was duct leakage tested? Which climate zone and baseline does the estimate use? Those questions are more useful than copying the percentage into a budget.
The DOE project also estimates 10.3 TBtu of aggregate savings for about 800,000 manufactured homes produced between 2023 and 2030. The scope matters. A national modeled total cannot replace a utility bill review or a site inspection.
